Jack Clark’s case for AI automating AI research by 2028

The argument assigns a 60% chance that frontier models can autonomously train successor models by the end of 2028, based on progress in software engineering and research workflows

Anthropic’s policy head Jack Clark has a deep dive on why he assigns a 60% chance that AI will be able to automate AI research (“where a frontier model is able to autonomously train a successor version of itself”) by end of 2028. Highlight
Ranked #29 on backlist 2026-05-10 (10 May 2026 UTC) · by (Bearly AI) ·

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